Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024787 0.026658 0.028609 0.030800 0.033192 0.035730 0.038628
2025-01-19 0.021992 0.024694 0.027662 0.031173 0.035226 0.039775 0.045289
2025-01-26 0.019891 0.023063 0.026681 0.031136 0.036505 0.042802 0.050804
2025-02-02 0.018550 0.022076 0.026227 0.031510 0.038108 0.046145 0.056781
2025-02-09 0.017165 0.020872 0.025348 0.031206 0.038746 0.048230 0.061227
2025-02-16 0.016091 0.019938 0.024691 0.031066 0.039496 0.050412 0.065861
2025-02-23 0.015129 0.019061 0.024020 0.030818 0.040030 0.052277 0.070128
2025-03-02 0.014383 0.018402 0.023566 0.030793 0.040814 0.054474 0.074951
2025-03-09 0.013568 0.017597 0.022861 0.030363 0.040982 0.055785 0.078555
2025-03-16 0.012785 0.016786 0.022094 0.029785 0.040878 0.056670 0.081546
2025-03-23 0.012182 0.016185 0.021572 0.029506 0.041163 0.058099 0.085416
2025-03-30 0.011634 0.015629 0.021080 0.029232 0.041418 0.059474 0.089263
2025-04-06 0.011001 0.014931 0.020359 0.028592 0.041103 0.059979 0.091794
2025-04-13 0.010700 0.014686 0.020270 0.028874 0.042187 0.062692 0.098099
2025-04-20 0.010324 0.014315 0.019978 0.028828 0.042752 0.064607 0.103204
2025-04-27 0.010085 0.014130 0.019944 0.029166 0.043927 0.067558 0.110288
2025-05-04 0.009694 0.013703 0.019529 0.028888 0.044093 0.068851 0.114548
2025-05-11 0.009368 0.013359 0.019222 0.028760 0.044485 0.070533 0.119615
2025-05-18 0.009038 0.012995 0.018867 0.028534 0.044695 0.071905 0.124202
2025-05-25 0.008779 0.012727 0.018647 0.028511 0.045240 0.073876 0.130051
2025-06-01 0.008447 0.012333 0.018215 0.028119 0.045126 0.074671 0.133690
2025-06-08 0.008101 0.011908 0.017716 0.027591 0.044746 0.074959 0.136345
2025-06-15 0.007837 0.011599 0.017390 0.027336 0.044829 0.076083 0.140742